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A soft landing would greatly boost small caps since they're economically sensitive, meaning they tend to thrive in expansions and fall during contractions. Marcelli also made note of smaller companies' weaker balance sheets, though those are arguably accounted for in valuations. With that said, those positive forces appear to be intact, so small caps could finally break out. Instead of selling AI chips or products, smaller companies can enhance their productivity by using the technology, the strategy chief said. 5 sectors where small caps can thriveWithin small caps, Temple said he's less focused on what sector a company falls into and more concerned with whether that firm is financially healthy.
Persons: haven't, Russell, Marcelli, Ronald Temple, Temple, couldn't, there's, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, he's, you've, I'd, they've Organizations: Business, Yahoo Finance, UBS Global Wealth Management, Lazard Asset Management, Temple, Reserve, Savings, Nvidia, Devices, Microsoft
The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. In Septembers since 1945, the S&P 500 has declined an average of 0.7%, the worst performance of any month, according to CFRA. Of course, bullish stock investors have largely been rewarded for looking past potential pitfalls this year. "The correction started on the first day of the month, and now it has corrected the conditions that made it vulnerable," Hayes said. Reporting by David Randall; Additional reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, Jerome Powell, Sandy Villere, Goldman Sachs, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, Natixis, Solutions, U.S, Villere, Pfizer, Abbott Laboratories, Investors, Republicans, U.S . House, Goldman, Federal, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Jackson
Investors are also closely watching the path of Treasury yields, which rattled equity markets in recent days by rising to fresh year highs. The S&P 500 fell 2.27% this week, its biggest weekly decline since March 10. Janasiewicz of Natixis said a stronger-than-expected consumer price reading next week could spark a decline of up to 5% in the S&P 500. A stronger-than-expected inflation number next week could also boost Treasury yields further. Rising yields on Treasuries, viewed as among the world's safest investments because they are backed by the U.S. government, can dull the allure of stocks.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jack Janasiewicz, Natixis, Aaron Chan, Refinitiv, Tim Murray, Rowe Price, Brent, Ann Miletti, Fitch, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Carolina Mandl, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Natixis Investment, Amazon.com, Cruise, Treasury, U.S ., Advisory, Wall Street, Amazon, Google, Apple, BofA Global Research, JPMorgan, Carolina, Thomson Locations: Wall St, New York, U.S, Stocks, Refinitiv
"We'll have a much better sense after we get another major data point on Friday with the jobs report and the inflation data next week." MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed 0.93% lower, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) lost 0.25%. In currencies, the U.S. dollar edged higher against other major currencies after Fed minutes reinforced expectations of another interest rate hike at the end of the month. The dollar index rose 0.272%, with the euro down 0.22% to $1.0853. And market participants were awaiting demand data from the July 4 U.S. holiday weekend, which tends to mark the peak U.S. travel season.
Persons: Mike Segar, outstrip Brent, Michael James, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, , Paul Nolte, Sterling, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Lewis Krauskopf, Tom Wilson, Stella Qiu, Dhara, Sam Holmes, Helen Popper, Will Dunham, Christina Fincher Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Wedbush Securities, U.S . Commerce, Companies, U.S, Solutions, Traders, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, , Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Brent, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Los Angeles, United States, China, Washington, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, London, Sydney
[1/3] Signs of JP Morgan Chase Bank, Citibank and Wells Fargo & Co. bank are seen in this combination photo from Reuters files. The S&P 500 Banks Index (.SPXBK) rose 1.14%, while the KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) gained about 2%. JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N), Wells Fargo (WFC.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Citigroup (C.N) and Bank of America (BAC.N) advanced between 1% and 2%. Higher net interest income has helped cushion a slump in the banking sector's market-sensitive business units such as investment banking and trading. Zions Bancorporation (ZION.O) shares fell 0.56% after its executives forecasted a slowdown in net interest income.
Persons: JP Morgan, Wells, Mike Santomassimo, Jack Janasiewicz, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Zions, Manya Saini, Sriraj Kalluvila, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: JP Morgan Chase Bank, Citibank, Wells Fargo & Co, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Traders, Natixis Investment, Banks, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Comerica Inc, Comerica, Bancorp, Western Alliance, U.S . Bancorp, National Bancorp, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wells, KBW, Monday's, Wells Fargo, Bengaluru
Most big bank stocks were trading lower in afternoon trading with the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) down nearly 1% on Monday. U.S. regulators, led by the Federal Reserve, are also expected to propose this month increasing average bank capital requirements by as much as 20% a person familiar with the matter told Reuters. Regional bank stocks also logged broad declines on Monday, with the KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) shedding 2%. The impending international capital rules come amid a broader Fed review of lenders' capital requirements. "It's not shocking that you should expect to see some capital requirements being increased and a little more oversight is expected given what has happened with regional banks," Janasiewicz said.
Persons: Wells, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, Chibuike Oguh, Manya Saini, Michelle Price, Lance Tupper, Aurora Ellis Organizations: YORK, JPMorgan Chase &, Wells Fargo & Co, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Citigroup, Bank of America Corp, Treasury, Natixis Investment, U.S, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Street Journal, Basel Committee, KBW, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance, Comerica Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Basel, Regional, New York
U.S. casino operators with businesses in China including Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN.O), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS.N), MGM Resorts International (MGM.N) and Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd all fell at least 2%. [1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 21, 2022. Energy was the only major S&P 500 sector eying gains for the year, surging around 63%. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.60-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 96 new highs and 220 new lows.
The S&P 500 energy sector is already up around 48% this year and monetary policy tightening around the world has bolstered the chances of a global recession that could curtail energy demand. The S&P 500 energy sector trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9, nearly half the 17.4 valuation of the broader index. The S&P 500 is down around 24% this year while bonds - as measured by the Vanguard Total Bond Market index fund - are down nearly 18%. Saira Malik, chief investment officer at Nuveen, believes that fund managers will remain lightly positioned in energy shares despite recent gains. She is also betting that China’s economy will rebound in coming months, supporting global oil prices"We still think energy has legs here," she said.
The S&P 500 energy sector is already up around 46% this year and monetary policy tightening around the world has bolstered the chances of a global recession that could curtail energy demand. The S&P 500 energy sector trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9, nearly half the 17.4 valuation of the broader index. Energy is the only sector in the S&P 500 expected by analysts at Credit Suisse to post positive revisions to their third quarter earnings. Saira Malik, chief investment officer at Nuveen, believes that fund managers will remain lightly positioned in energy shares despite recent gains. She is also betting that China’s economy will rebound in coming months, supporting global oil prices"We still think energy has legs here," she said.
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